The current round of risky asset weakness and rise in volatility been partially blamed on Trumps decision to deploy additional troops into Afghanistan. In reaction to news of his announcement, the VIX spiked to a high of 16, US equities fought to sustain gains (clear weakness in Tech and Financial) while USDJPY slid to 108.60. While the speech provides a meaningful shift in campaign rhetoric the lack of details indicate investors should not assume long term structural consequence. Trump acknowledged that he had been critical of the unending war and advocated total withdrawal but as President his generals persuaded him to avoid creating a power vacuum in Afghanistan.
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